Coritiba can ill-afford to drop too many more points if they wish to avoid becoming the whipping boys of the Brasileiro, and will view Saturday's fixture against a fellow out-of-sorts side in Santos as a good opportunity to open their account for the season. However, Hellmann will be keen to see a response from his Santos squad following their early Copa Sudamericana exit and we can see the visitors claiming a slender victory in a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Santos had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Santos
42.97% ( 0.1)	28.51% ( -0.01)	28.52% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.46% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.51% (

0.01)

61.49% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.64% (

0.01)

81.36% (

-0.01)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

0.06)

28.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

0.08)

64.13% (

-0.08)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08% (

-0.07)

37.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31% (

-0.07)

74.69% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 42.97%

Santos 28.52%

Draw 28.5%

Coritiba	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 42.97%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.52%