MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:46:16| >> :60:2:2:
Audax Italiano
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Teniente
Santos

Audax
2 - 1
Santos

Sosa (45+5', 55')
Fernandez (39'), Sosa (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camacho (20')
Hellmann (40'), Paulo (45+7'), Joaquim (45+1')
Joaquim (45+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Audax Italiano and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Audax 2-0 Blooming
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 21 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawSantos
37.33% (-0.142 -0.14) 28.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 34.24% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (-0.128 -0.13)59.89% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)80.15% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.148 -0.15)30.85% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.177 -0.18)67.13% (0.181 0.18)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (0.0039999999999907 0)32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.41%
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 37.33%
    Santos 34.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Audax ItalianoDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.24%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Santos
0-0
Audax

Fernandez (75')

Rojas (47'), Labrin (60'), Hachen (83')
rhs 2.0
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