MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 05:06:35| >> :120:15899:15899:
Audax Italiano
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Audax
3 - 2
Catolica

Sepulveda (19'), Sosa (56'), Fuentes (58')
Fernandez (8'), Labrin (29'), Juarez (65'), Rios (67'), Munoz (76'), Hachen (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zampedri (16', 36')
Rovira (21'), Di Santo (90+6'), Cuevas (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Audax Italiano and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Estudiantes 2-0 Audax
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawUniversidad Catolica
44.71% (0.312 0.31) 24.92% (-0.189 -0.19) 30.37% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 56.14% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.762 0.76)46.94% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.707 0.71)69.19% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.461 0.46)21.04% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.708 0.71)53.83% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.30199999999999 0.3)28.9% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.371 0.37)64.77% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 44.71%
    Universidad Catolica 30.37%
    Draw 24.92%
Audax ItalianoDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.37%

How you voted: Audax vs Catolica

Audax Italiano
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Universidad Catolica
22.2%
9
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