Santos will surely be more motivated to win this match than their opponents, who know that avoiding defeat in their final group game against Audax Italiano will be enough for them to secure first position in Group E. As such, we expect the hosts to edge a tight encounter, which would ensure that they remain in the competition heading into the final matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
44.01% ( 0.08)	28.66% ( -0.02)	27.33% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 43.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.53% (

0.03)

62.47% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.92% (

0.02)

82.08% (

-0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.06)

28.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.07)

64.02% (

-0.07)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.54% (

-0.03)

39.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.85% (

-0.03)

76.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Santos 44%

Newell's Old Boys 27.33%

Draw 28.65%

Santos	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.33%