Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Blooming had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Blooming win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.