Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Belgrano1 - 0Newell's OB
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Belgrano
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Newell's OB 3-0 Blooming
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 41.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41.2% ( 0.05) | 29.53% ( -0.01) | 29.27% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
