Brasileiro | Gameweek 13

Jul 1, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Fortaleza

Barbosa (14'), De Arrascaeta (64')
Pulgar (44'), Henrique (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Aucas
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

We said: Flamengo 3-1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza will travel with confidence on the back of their consecutive league wins, but the hosts do boast more quality in their ranks, and we see Sampaoli's men being too strong on home turf, particularly in attack, and taking all three points as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
67.67% ( -0.03)	19.98% ( 0.01)	12.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

-0.03)

48.69% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.03)

70.8% (

0.03)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.02)

13.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65% (

-0.03)

40.35% (

0.03)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.25% (

-0)

48.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.22% (

-0)

83.77% (

Score Analysis

Flamengo 67.66%

Fortaleza 12.35%

Draw 19.98%

Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 67.66%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.98%	0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 12.35%