Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras1 - 1Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Flamengo
This should be a hugely entertaining clash between two of Brazil's biggest clubs, who have won the latest three editions of the Copa Libertadores between them. They are both chasing down runaway leaders Botafogo in the Brasileiro, making this a massively important fixture for both teams, but we can envisage them having to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Flamengo win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
62.18% ( -0.84) | 20.57% ( 0.46) | 17.25% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
