MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 11:01:49| >> :60:1014:1014:
Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Rafinha (82')
Maia (44'), Neves (44'), David (90+3'), Rato (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mayke (87'), Gomez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras

 We can see Tuesday's showdown being a close-fought battle between two fierce rivals, with both sides expected to settle for a draw ahead of a pivotal second leg later this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
48.25% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 25.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.37% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.037000000000003 0.04)73.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)54.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.24%
    Palmeiras 26.34%
    Draw 25.41%
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.34%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
42.2%
Draw
37.8%
Palmeiras
20.0%
45
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sao Paulo
0-2
Palmeiras

David (89'), Maia (90+3'), Rodriguinho (90')
Maia (90+4')
Menino (11'), Endrick (78')
Ferreira (15'), Artur (89')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Palmeiras
0-0
Sao Paulo
Jul 15, 2022 12am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
2-1
Sao Paulo
 Sao Paulo win 4-3 on penalties

Veiga (30'), Gomez (69'), Rocha (90+2')
Luciano (70' pen.)
Welington (5'), Neves (45'), Nestor (56'), Calleri (64'), Nikao (87')
> Preview
Jun 24, 2022 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
Palmeiras
Patrick (31')
Reinaldo (61'), Neves (73')

Cerqueira (49'), Gomez (61')
> Preview
Jun 21, 2022 12am
Gameweek 13
Sao Paulo
1-2
Palmeiras
Patrick (17')
Vinicius (39'), Reinaldo (45+2')
Gomez (90+1'), Cerqueira (90+6')
Danilo (45+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

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TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010
> European Championship 2024 overview


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