MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 21:14:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Bahia

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia

Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia

While Bahia have made a very promising start to the 2024 league season, their away record is much less impressive with only one win secured in six outings. Sao Paulo, while not at their absolute best this term, have earned the majority of their points here at MorumBIS, losing only once in their last five home games. This looks a very even contest on paper and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahia has a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bahia win it is 0-1 (6.25%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawBahia
58.19% (-2.803 -2.8) 23.22% (1.257 1.26) 18.58% (1.536 1.54)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.966 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-2.794 -2.79)50.56% (2.785 2.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-2.522 -2.52)72.48% (2.514 2.51)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-1.919 -1.92)17.1% (1.911 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-3.496 -3.5)47.3% (3.488 3.49)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.187 0.19)41.26% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.165 0.16)77.79% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 58.19%
    Bahia 18.58%
    Draw 23.22%
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.6 0.6)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.548 -0.55)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.452 -0.45)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.45 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.383 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.59 0.59)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.76 0.76)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.702 0.7)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.323 0.32)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Bahia

Sao Paulo
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Bahia
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
0-1
Sao Paulo

Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
0-0
Bahia
Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')
Jul 10, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
1-0
Bahia
Liziero (90+1')

Jonas (73')
Nov 28, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 23
Bahia
1-3
Sao Paulo
Clayson (81')
Luciano (52', 74'), Arboleda (66')
Sara (47'), Alves (48')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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