Hoffenheim
1 - 4
Freiburg

Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Grifo (10', 35' pen.), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 Freiburg

Although in the league these sides are separated by a single point, we think that Hoffenheim will have too much for the visitors, especially as the hosts are unbeaten in their last eight home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
52.96%	22.01%	25.03%

Both teams to score 61.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.59%

37.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.37%

59.63%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.74%

14.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.96%

42.04%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62%

63.38%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 52.96%

Freiburg 25.03%

Draw 22.01%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 4% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 6.33% 0-1 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.66% Total : 25.03%