Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.