Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
40.28% | 26.65% | 33.06% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% | 53.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% | 74.88% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% | 26.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% | 61.03% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% | 30.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% | 66.48% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |