Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.