Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Maritimo |
78.64% | 14.48% | 6.88% |
Both teams to score 40.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% | 41.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% | 63.57% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.5% | 8.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.54% | 29.46% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.4% | 55.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.76% | 88.23% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 14.36% 3-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 8.43% 4-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-1 @ 4.27% 5-0 @ 3.59% 5-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.48% Total : 78.64% | 1-1 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 4.73% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.48% | 0-1 @ 2.78% 1-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 6.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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