Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax5 - 0Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 2-1 Fortuna Sittard
It is too early to tell whether Ajax have left the struggles of last season in the past, but they have produced largely positive results this campaign, and they should come into Wednesday's clash as favourites. However, given the hosts have already played eight competitive games this season, Fortuna could look to take advantage of any early sluggishness from the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.59% ( 0.23) | 20.3% ( 0.03) | 16.11% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0.63) | 42.16% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( -0.63) | 64.56% ( 0.63) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( -0.13) | 12.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.26) | 38.7% ( 0.27) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.7) | 39.23% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.06% ( -0.66) | 75.94% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 63.58%
Fortuna Sittard 16.11%
Draw 20.3%
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 16.11% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard
Ajax
87.3%Draw
10.3%Fortuna Sittard
2.4%126
Form Guide
