Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza0 - 2Corinthians
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Neither side have been particularly sharp since advancing from the last 16 of this tournament, but all season long, Fortaleza have found a way to win at home, and that belief could go a long way to another triumph on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Corinthians |
51.84% ( -2.42) | 25.96% ( 0.8) | 22.2% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
