Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza2 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Sportivo Trinidense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 3-3 Fortaleza (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense |
79.39% ( 0.04) | 13.7% ( -0) | 6.91% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
