Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Oct 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Corinthians

(Fortaleza win 3-1 on aggregate)

Pikachu (49'), Tinga (55')
Pochettino (28'), Welison (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians (Fortaleza advances 2-1 on aggregate)

Fortaleza have often found a way to come out on top throughout these home contests, and we believe their fans will give this team that little bit extra needed to will them to victory and give them an edge against a resilient Corinthians side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
67.27% ( -0.03)	20.64% ( 0.01)	12.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 41.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

-0.01)

51.88% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

-0.01)

73.63% (

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

-0.01)

14.54% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

-0.02)

42.57% (

0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.82% (

0.02)

51.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.54% (

0.01)

85.46% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 67.26%

Corinthians 12.09%

Draw 20.64%

Fortaleza	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 13.83% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.09% Total : 67.26%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.64%	0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 12.09%