While Corinthians did manage to secure a crucial home win in the first leg, they were far from convincing and could find themselves in a very closely-contested battle in this one. We expect the Argentine side to find the net at least once in the match, but the visitors should make it through to the next round, albeit by a very slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Corinthians
50.13% ( -0.05)	28.45% ( 0.02)	21.42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.69% (

-0.05)

65.3% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.89% (

-0.04)

84.1% (

0.03)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

-0.05)

26.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26% (

-0.06)

61.73% (

0.06)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.24% (

-0.01)

46.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.7% (

-0.01)

82.29% (

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 50.11%

Corinthians 21.42%

Draw 28.44%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 50.11%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.42%