MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:04:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Corinthians

Bahia
0 - 0
Corinthians


Kanu (86'), Yago (90+6'), Ademir (90+2')
FT

Gil (90+3'), Murillo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bahia 1-1 Corinthians

 These teams are near the bottom of the standings for a reason, as neither have been able to put their opportunities away consistently. Although Bahia will have a few extra days to rest, Corinthians have reacted well when faced with a setback lately and we believe they will again come Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCorinthians
45.15% (-1.802 -1.8) 28.58% (0.738 0.74) 26.26% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (-1.78 -1.78)62.73% (1.781 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (-1.314 -1.31)82.27% (1.315 1.32)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.753 -1.75)27.81% (1.753 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-2.297 -2.3)63.4% (2.297 2.3)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.055 -0.05)40.53% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)77.13% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 45.15%
    Corinthians 26.25%
    Draw 28.58%
BahiaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.631 0.63)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 26.25%

How you voted: Bahia vs Corinthians

Bahia
42.3%
Draw
26.9%
Corinthians
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Corinthians
3-1
Bahia
Guedes (45+4' pen.), Cantillo (52'), Jo (70')
Gilberto (33' pen.)
Araujo (42')
Araujo (45+1')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Bahia
0-0
Corinthians
Bahia (62')
Roni (35'), Gabriel (61'), Ramiro (75')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
2-1
Corinthians
Gilberto (31'), Pablo Ramirez (45+4')
Gregore (27'), Pablo Ramirez (35'), Ramon (86')
Gabriel (71')
Jo (11')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Corinthians
3-2
Bahia
Otero (17'), Roni (34'), Gil (61')
Fagner (9'), Araos (13'), Xavier (90+7')
Paraiba (36'), Saldanha (89')
Ronaldo (44'), Paraiba (59')
Sep 21, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 20
Corinthians
2-1
Bahia
Love (44' pen.), Clayson (75')
Clayson (45'), Love (89')
Gilberto (64' pen.)
Paraiba (41'), Fonseca (53'), Artur (53'), Flavio (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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