Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental

Universitario
1 - 2
Corinthians

Flores (77' pen.)
Corzo (12')
Guzman (90+13'), Di Benedetto (90+12'), Calcaterra (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maycon (70'), Ryan (90+2')
Ruan (10'), Caetano (16'), Murillo (88'), Ryan (90+3'), Mendez (90+21')
Ryan (90+10'), Araujo (90+11')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Universitario and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

We said: Universitario 0-0 Corinthians (Corinthians win 1-0 on aggregate)

The Peruvians have shown they can keep pace with an experienced group like Corinthians, and Los Merengues should feel comfortable given their current home form, but we have a hard time seeing them create much when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Corinthians
62.51% ( -0.03)	23.68% ( 0.01)	13.82% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.25% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.65% (

-0.02)

59.34% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

-0.02)

79.73% (

0.02)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23% (

-0.02)

18.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.84% (

-0.03)

50.16% (

0.03)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.09% (

0.01)

52.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.41% (

0.01)

86.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Universitario 62.5%

Corinthians 13.82%

Draw 23.67%

Universitario	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 16.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 62.5%	1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.82% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 13.82%