Although both teams will be keen to drop down to the Copa Sudamericana as opposed to crashing out of continental competition altogether, this should be a match played in the right spirit considering that both teams are already eliminated from the Copa Libertadores. Corinthians were too strong for Liverpool on the opening matchday and, while we expect things to be much closer on Thursday, we expect the Brazilians to win once again to seal third place in Group E. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Liverpool
63.81% ( 0.2)	21.79% ( -0.04)	14.4% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.34% (

-0.13)

51.66% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56% (

-0.12)

73.44% (

0.12)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

0.02)

15.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.47% (

0.04)

44.53% (

-0.04)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.65% (

-0.31)

47.35% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25% (

-0.24)

82.75% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 63.8%

Liverpool 14.4%

Draw 21.79%

Corinthians	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.95% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.4%