Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians1 - 2Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
58.68% ( 1.4) | 23.48% ( -0.28) | 17.85% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
