Having kept three clean sheets across their opening four group games – netting four goals in the process – Argentinos Juniors are expected to notch another low-scoring victory over Liverpool, whose struggles on the road look set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Liverpool
68.6% ( 0)	20.26% ( 0.02)	11.15% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.02% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45% (

-0.11)

52.55% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79% (

-0.09)

74.21% (

0.09)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

-0.03)

14.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.82% (

-0.07)

42.18% (

0.07)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.72% (

-0.1)

53.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.17% (

-0.06)

86.82% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 68.58%

Liverpool 11.15%

Draw 20.26%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.58%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.26%	0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.15%