Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool
4 - 2
Maldonado

Bentancourt (5' pen., 52'), Medina (27' pen.), Otormin (42')
Britos (19'), Izquierdo (66'), Medina (77'), Cabrera (90+5'), Cabrera (90+4'), Samudio (90+5')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gonzalez (50'), Cantera (64' pen.)
Queiroz (25'), Muniz (69'), Cantera (75'), Ferreira (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 3-2 Torque
Sunday, April 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
44.91% ( -0.39)	26.2% ( 0.05)	28.9% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

-0.03)

52.98% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.43% (

-0.02)

74.57% (

0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-0.2)

23.5% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46% (

-0.29)

57.54% (

0.29)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.95% (

0.25)

33.05% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.36% (

0.27)

69.64% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 44.9%

Deportivo Maldonado 28.9%

Draw 26.19%

Liverpool	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.9%