Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 21, 2022 at 10pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza1 - 0Corinthians
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Ceara | 22 | -1 | 25 |
15 | Fortaleza | 22 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Cuiaba | 22 | -7 | 23 |
Last Game: Corinthians 4-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Flamengo | 22 | 18 | 39 |
4 | Corinthians | 22 | 5 | 39 |
5 | Athletico Paranaense | 22 | 1 | 37 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Corinthians |
51.89% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.04) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 40.95% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.46% ( 0.12) | 62.54% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.86% ( 0.09) | 82.13% ( -0.09) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% ( 0.06) | 24.43% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% ( 0.09) | 58.87% ( -0.09) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( 0.08) | 45.81% ( -0.08) |