Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.