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Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Castelao
Corinthians

Ceara
3 - 1
Corinthians

Pacheco (28'), Vinicius (33'), Cleber (76')
Cleber (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (4')
Giovane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Ceara 0-2 Corinthians

Ceara have been showcasing their qualities as of late with good defensive performances that have led to them grinding out results on a consistent basis. Despite that, they are facing one of the strongest teams in the Brasileiro, and the Corinthians are likely going to be too strong for their opponents here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawCorinthians
58.11% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.02% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.87% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)59.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (-0.073 -0.07)79.71% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.43% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.46% (-0.16 -0.16)48.54% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (-0.117 -0.12)83.62% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 58.1%
    Corinthians 16.87%
    Draw 25.01%
CearaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Ceara vs Corinthians

Ceara
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Corinthians
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2021 11pm
Ceara
2-1
Corinthians
Vinicius (6'), Gonzalez (87')
Sobral (21'), Ricardo (90+2'), Kelvyn (90+5')
Guedes (84')
Queiroz (26'), Gabriel (45'), Ramos (63'), Fagner (75')
Aug 15, 2021 8pm
Corinthians
3-1
Ceara
Adson (18', 30'), Augusto (68')
Santos (11')
Rick (70')
Jael (84')
Feb 4, 2021 12.30am
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Ceara
2-1
Corinthians
Gil (34' og.), Sobral (90+1' pen.)
Chu (52'), Sobis (55'), Otavio (78')
Eduardo (62')
Natel (15')
(87')
Dec 4, 2019 10.30pm
Ceara
0-1
Corinthians

Lima (17'), Fabinho (37'), Lucas (83')
Lima (70')
Gustavo (82')
Gabriel (20'), Manoel (32'), Augusto (40'), Clayson (77')
rhs 2.0
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