Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

(agg: -)

Roni (45+1'), Piton (62'), Victor (68')

Rojo (40'), Villa (44'), Varela (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Union
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors face the stern test of taking Corinthians at the Neo Quimica Arena, where the Brazilian side are unbeaten in 16 straight games. While we expect Battaglia's side to still put up a fight, we are backing the hosts to come away with a slender victory in what is expected to be a cagey contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
40.2% ( -0.03)	27.26% ( 0.01)	32.55% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

-0.01)

55.82% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

-0.01)

76.94% (

0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79% (

-0.02)

27.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

-0.03)

62.62% (

0.03)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

0.01)

31.9% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

0.01)

68.35% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 40.19%

Boca Juniors 32.55%

Draw 27.25%

Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 40.19%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.55%