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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
5 - 3
Tigre

Benedetto (11', 77'), Zeballos (54', 74'), Demartini (57' og.)
Fernandez (49'), Zeballos (76'), Weigandt (80'), Fabra (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Figal (35' og.), Retegui (66', 89' pen.)
Sosa (76'), Blondel (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Tigre

Last Six:
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Tigre

 Even though Tigre will be more pleased with their start to the second phase, we cannot ignore the result in the corresponding fixture several weeks ago. With that in mind, we are backing a narrow win for the home side, who can catapult themselves up the standings in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
59.9% (-0.7 -0.7) 23.78% (-0.1 -0.1) 16.32% (0.794 0.79)
Both teams to score 43.08% (1.779 1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (1.507 1.51)55.85% (-1.513 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (1.211 1.21)76.97% (-1.218 -1.22)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.30500000000001 0.31)18.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.515 0.52)49.57% (-0.522 -0.52)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8% (1.988 1.99)47.19% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (1.451 1.45)82.63% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 59.89%
    Tigre 16.32%
    Draw 23.77%
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 14.7% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.161 0.16)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Tigre

Boca Juniors
86.4%
Draw
0.0%
Tigre
13.6%
22
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 8pm
Boca Juniors
3-0
Tigre
Rojo (45+4'), Fabra (68'), Vasquez (86')
Romero (23')

Cabrera (34'), Prieto (48'), Blondel (90')
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
Tigre
0-2
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (4'), Luciatti (27'), Blondel (39'), Prieto (68')
Benedetto (44'), Vasquez (65')
Benedetto (48'), Campuzano (90+2')
Nov 3, 2018 11pm
Boca Juniors
4-1
Tigre
Tevez (26', 73'), Cardona (69'), Buffarini (88')
Benedetto (15'), Balerdi (51'), Gago (63')
Gonzalez (11')
Ortiz (21'), Caire (29')
rhs 2.0
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