MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 09:16:34| >> :600:1772094:1772094:
PSV
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
Excelsior

PSV
5 - 4
Excelsior

Tillman (73'), Pepi (86', 101'), Saibari (90+7'), Perisic (110')
Obispo (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Naujoks (45+3', 58'), Duijvestijn (80'), Omorowa (117' pen.)
Zagre (118')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Dordrecht
Friday, January 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 SBV Excelsior

PSV are expected to ring the changes for this one but should still have enough quality to cruise to a routine victory.   We fully fancy the home side to get the job done, scoring plenty of goals en route to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.07%).

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
75.19% (0.20399999999999 0.2) 14.02% (-0.121 -0.12) 10.78% (-0.086 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.93% (0.377 0.38)24.06% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.32% (0.501 0.5)43.68% (-0.501 -0.5)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.6% (0.11199999999999 0.11)5.39% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.85% (0.33 0.33)21.14% (-0.331 -0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (0.157 0.16)34.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.165 0.16)71.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 75.19%
    SBV Excelsior 10.78%
    Draw 14.02%
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 6% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.37% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.5% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.19% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.86% (0.035 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.71% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
6-2 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 75.19%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 14.02%
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 10.78%

How you voted: PSV vs Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven
Draw
SBV Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
84.8%
Draw
6.1%
SBV Excelsior
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Excelsior
0-2
PSV

Baas (22')
Junior (58'), Bakayoko (62')
Jan 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
3-1
Excelsior
De Jong (13', 17', 69')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
PSV
4-0
Excelsior
De Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
0-2
PSV
Bergwijn (8', 54')
Lozano (24')
rhs 2.0
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