MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:26:34| >> :60:2883:2883:
Brest logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
PSV

Brest
1 - 0
PSV

Le Cardinal (43')
Le Cardinal (45+2'), Del Castillo (58'), Chardonnet (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dams (41'), Tillman (64'), Veerman (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Brest and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Brest
Friday, December 6 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSV 6-1 FC Twente
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Brest 0-3 PSV Eindhoven

Despite winning just one of their last 19 away games in the Champions League, PSV are unbeaten in six games against French clubs, including on their trip to Paris Saint-Germain on matchday three where they drew 1-1, and against weaker opposition, they will be fancied to take all three points, given their superb recent form. Only Barcelona have managed to get the better of Brest in Europe this season, but a run of form that has seen them now lose five of their last seven games suggests Roy's side are starting to suffer with the demands of European football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawPSV Eindhoven
19.18% (0.131 0.13) 21.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 59.37% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86% (-0.161 -0.16)42.14% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (-0.163 -0.16)64.54% (0.163 0.16)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)35.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)72.46% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.117 -0.12)13.84% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.232 -0.23)41.21% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.18%
    PSV Eindhoven 59.37%
    Draw 21.45%
BrestDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 19.18%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 59.37%

How you voted: Brest vs PSV

Brest
16.5%
Draw
10.1%
PSV Eindhoven
73.4%
218
rhs 2.0
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