Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
2 - 0
Boca Juniors

Maycon (5', 78')
Fagner (32'), Augusto (33'), Queiroz (36'), Gustavo (37'), Victor (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Medina (37'), Benedetto (63'), Fabra (74'), Aranda (86')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: C. Cordoba vs. Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
37.22%	25.66%	37.12%

Both teams to score 55.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33%

48.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22%

70.78%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.38%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Score Analysis

Corinthians 37.22%

Boca Juniors 37.12%

Draw 25.66%

Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.12%