Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 22 | 45 |
2 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 39 |
3 | Fluminense | 21 | 10 | 38 |
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 22 | 45 |
2 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 39 |
3 | Fluminense | 21 | 10 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Palmeiras |
31.35% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( -0.01) | 39.42% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 43.65% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.96% ( 0.02) | 63.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.5% ( 0.02) | 82.49% ( -0.02) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.43% ( 0.01) | 36.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.64% ( 0) | 73.36% ( -0.01) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( 0.02) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |