Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 10, 2022 at 10pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Palmeiras

Rony (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	15	15	29
2	Atletico Mineiro	15	7	27
3	Fluminense	16	7	27

We said: Fortaleza 1-3 Palmeiras

Table toppers Palmeiras will understandably be the strong favourites to come out on top against the league's lowest-ranked side Fortaleza, but the latter have caused numerous problems in recent meetings and will be hoping to cause another upset this weekend. Nevertheless, the visitors should have plenty of firepower to outscore their opponents and secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
26.61% ( 0.06)	27.53% ( -0.02)	45.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.9% (

0.12)

59.1% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45% (

0.09)

79.55% (

-0.09)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

0.11)

38.19% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

0.11)

74.95% (

-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

0.04)

25.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

0.05)

60.7% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 26.61%

Palmeiras 45.85%

Draw 27.53%

Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.61%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.85%