Their style may be a little more conservative than we are used to, but there is no denying this Fortaleza squad are committed to defending and have done it effectively. We expect them to frustrate the Paraguayans again this week and catch them on the break, a strategy which has worked out well for the Brazilians throughout this tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Club Libertad
54.57% ( 0.11)	24.24% ( -0.02)	21.2% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7%

51.3% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87%

73.13% (

0.01)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

0.04)

18.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.94% (

0.07)

50.06% (

-0.06)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14% (

-0.08)

38.86% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.41% (

-0.08)

75.59% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 54.56%

Club Libertad 21.2%

Draw 24.23%

Fortaleza	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.56%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.2%