Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
0 - 1
Cuiaba

Alexandre (25'), Pacheco (45+2'), Marcelo (64'), Galhardo (68'), Britez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Deyverson (19')
Deyverson (40'), Clayson (43'), Castilho (65'), Ceppelini (90+9'), Oliveira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is little to separate these two teams at present, although Fortaleza will be regarded as slight favourites to come out on top on home soil. Cuiaba will fancy their chances of grinding out a positive result on their travels, but we believe that Fortaleza will prevail to boost their top-four hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Cuiaba
61.76% ( -0.11)	23.34% ( 0.06)	14.9% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 41.38% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

-0.13)

56.48% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52% (

-0.11)

77.48% (

0.11)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.09)

17.97% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18% (

-0.15)

48.82% (

0.15)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.45% (

-0.01)

49.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.66% (

-0.01)

84.34% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 61.75%

Cuiaba 14.9%

Draw 23.34%

Fortaleza	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 15.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 61.75%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 14.9%