MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 11:40:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Arouca

Esgaio (58' og.), Pinho (68')
Daniel Valente Moreira (37'), Veiga (45+4'), Kikas (65'), Keliano (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jason (4')
Dante (6'), Jason (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Arouca

With just one point separating Estrela Amadora and Arouca at the bottom end of the table, we anticipate a thrilling matchup at the Estadio Jose Gomes as they set out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawArouca
32.04% (0.274 0.27) 26.63% (0.269 0.27) 41.33% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 51.35% (-0.736 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.994 -0.99)53.48% (0.996 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.846 -0.85)75% (0.848 0.85)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)31.05% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)67.37% (0.37 0.37)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)25.52% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (-1.004 -1)60.37% (1.006 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 32.04%
    Arouca 41.33%
    Draw 26.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.33%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Arouca

Estrela Amadora
61.0%
Draw
17.1%
Arouca
22.0%
41
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Arouca
0-0
Estrela Amadora
Rocha (90')
Varela (40'), Pinho (44'), Cordeiro (90+3'), Bucca (90+6')
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Arouca
Gaspar (11')
Dida (71')
Mujica (47'), Jason (77'), Montero (80'), Bukia (90+1')
Mujica (40'), Sylla (66'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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