Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Arouca win it is 2-1 (4.16%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Benfica |
14.63% ( -0.67) | 18.65% ( -0.1) | 66.72% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( -1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.47% ( -0.97) | 37.53% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.24% ( -1.05) | 59.76% ( 1.05) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% ( -1.5) | 38.28% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% ( -1.47) | 75.04% ( 1.46) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% ( -0.08) | 10.42% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.02% ( -0.18) | 33.97% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.63% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.65% | 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.8% Total : 66.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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