Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.