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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
68.05% ( -0.56) | 19.79% ( 0.43) | 12.16% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -1.51) | 48.38% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -1.4) | 70.52% ( 1.4) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.62) | 13.2% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.06% ( -1.27) | 39.94% ( 1.26) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.12% ( -0.73) | 48.88% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.13% ( -0.53) | 83.87% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 12.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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