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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
40.54% ( -0.23) | 26.77% ( 0.06) | 32.68% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.11% ( -0.21) | 53.89% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.65% ( -0.18) | 75.35% ( 0.17) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.22) | 26.12% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( -0.3) | 61.19% ( 0.3) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( 0.01) | 30.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( 0.01) | 67.11% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |