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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
40.54% ( -0.23) | 26.77% ( 0.06) | 32.68% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.11% ( -0.21) | 53.89% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.65% ( -0.18) | 75.35% ( 0.17) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.22) | 26.12% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( -0.3) | 61.19% ( 0.3) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( 0.01) | 30.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( 0.01) | 67.11% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |