Cheltenham

4 - 1

Harrogate

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.