Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.