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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
39.73% ( 3.33) | 24.8% ( -0.04) | 35.47% ( -3.29) |
Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( 0.07) | 44.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 1.76) | 22.5% ( -1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 2.56) | 56.07% ( -2.56) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -1.73) | 24.75% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( -2.48) | 59.31% ( 2.48) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |