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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 4
Newport

Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Newport County

Harrogate Town and Newport County have suffered a drop-off in form of late and will head into Tuesday's clash in search of a morale-boosting result. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy Weaver's men to secure a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
39.73% (3.327 3.33) 24.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.47% (-3.291 -3.29)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.067 0.07)44.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67.23% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.761 1.76)22.5% (-1.762 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (2.561 2.56)56.07% (-2.561 -2.56)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-1.73 -1.73)24.75% (1.73 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-2.479 -2.48)59.31% (2.478 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.73%
    Newport County 35.47%
    Draw 24.8%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.423 0.42)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.594 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.418 0.42)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.436 0.44)
3-2 @ 3% (0.151 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.229 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.212 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.435 -0.43)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newport County
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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