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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
39.73% ( 3.33) | 24.8% ( -0.04) | 35.47% ( -3.29) |
Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% ( 0.07) | 44.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( 1.76) | 22.5% ( -1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 2.56) | 56.07% ( -2.56) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -1.73) | 24.75% ( 1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( -2.48) | 59.31% ( 2.48) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |