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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.24% ( 0.52) | 23.28% ( -0.39) | 22.48% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% ( 1.52) | 45.9% ( -1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% ( 1.43) | 68.21% ( -1.42) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( 0.75) | 16.83% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.19% ( 1.32) | 46.82% ( -1.31) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( 0.73) | 34.57% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% ( 0.76) | 71.3% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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