EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
0 - 1
Stockport

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jennings (53' pen.)
Croasdale (39'), Brown (70'), Hippolyte (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Harrogate Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Doncaster Rovers	2	1	4
11	Harrogate Town	2	0	3
12	Gillingham	2	-1	3

Stockport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1
21	Stockport County	2	-2	0
22	Rochdale	2	-2	0

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Stockport County

Though things have yet to fall into place for Stockport this season, their investment in signing some top talents at league level means they should prove more than a match for Harrogate in the cup, and the visitors will edge through to the second round if they can click up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Stockport County
30.02% ( 2.96)	23.86% ( 0.84)	46.12% ( -3.79)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.66% (

-1.93)

42.34% (

1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26% (

-1.95)

64.74% (

1.96)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

1.05)

26.83% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

1.36)

62.13% (

-1.36)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

-2.19)

18.57% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16% (

-3.83)

49.84% (

3.83)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 30.02%

Stockport County 46.12%

Draw 23.86%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.54) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.12%