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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
23.13% ( 0.04) | 22% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% ( -0.05) | 39.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.29% ( -0.05) | 61.72% ( 0.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( 0) | 30.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( 0) | 66.58% ( -0) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -0.03) | 14.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.84% ( -0.07) | 42.16% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.14% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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