Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Newport County |
74.19% ( 0.2) | 15.67% ( -0.06) | 10.13% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65% ( -0.15) | 35% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.01% ( -0.16) | 56.99% ( 0.16) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( 0.01) | 8.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.02) | 28.3% ( -0.02) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.37) | 43.77% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.06% ( -0.31) | 79.93% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Chesterfield 74.18%
Newport County 10.13%
Draw 15.67%
| Chesterfield | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.18% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.67% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.13% |
Head to Head
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
